Trump Tariffs Threatening Aviation

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Per Joey Smith, Director of Aviation Services at Cassel Salpeter, these tariffs may accelerate structural changes in the aviation supply chains and manufacturing strategies

In a just released report, “Aviation Investment Banking Q1 2025 Update,” these developments are addressed and highlights include the following.

  • Industry Fundamentals: Global aviation industry revenues are projected to surpass $1 trillion for the first time in 2025, with a total global economic impact estimated at $4.1 trillion.
  • Tariff Concerns: The aviation industry is receiving “a raw deal” despite being a prime example of U.S. manufacturing prowess with the aircraft, engine, and parts manufacturing industry expected to export about $125 billion this year.
  • Market Performance: Aviation stocks outperformed broader indices, with the Nasdaq US Aerospace index up 9.3% in Q1 while the S&P 500 declined 4.6%.
  • M&A Activity: Notable Q1 transactions included Triumph Group’s acquisition by Berkshire Partners and Warburg Pincus for approximately $2.9 billion.

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